Abstract:
The
world has been undergoing significant geopolitical shifts, particularly in
Southeast Asia, where the Arakan Corridor has emerged as a critical strategic
hotspot. Although portrayed as a humanitarian relief path, the corridor
conceals deeper strategic motives by global and regional powers, notably the
United States, China, and their allies. This paper explores the strategic
importance of the Rakhine/Arakan Corridor and the expansion of impact through
humanitarian justification. It provides an in-depth analysis of the role of the
Arakan Army, Myanmar's internal instability, and how the contest for influence
in this area impacts Bangladesh. Drawing from geopolitical theories and primary
data analysis, the paper uncovers how the corridor has become a focal point of
imperial ambition, with significant implications for Bangladesh's sovereignty,
diplomacy, and national security. Recommendations are proposed for Bangladesh
to recalibrate its regional policy and safeguard its strategic interests amidst
shifting power dynamics. Other hand the World politics has entered a turbulent
phase, with Southeast Asia becoming a crucial arena of strategic contestation.
Central to this emerging geopolitical landscape is the Rakhine Corridor, a
so-called humanitarian route through northern Myanmar's Rakhine State. While
publicly promoted as a relief pathway, the corridor conceals a broader agenda
of strategic influence expansion by Western imperialist powers. The Arakan
Army's de facto control over Rakhine territory has further complicated the
geopolitical calculus, making the corridor a focal point of competition among
China, the United States, and regional actors. For Bangladesh, the situation
presents an intricate challenge, as its national security, diplomatic posture,
and economic interests are increasingly entangled in this multidimensional
power struggle. This paper critically examines the strategic dynamics of the
Rakhine Corridor, interrogates the motives behind humanitarian discourses, and
analyzes Bangladesh's precarious position in the evolving geopolitical
equation. The study employs a realist theoretical framework, complemented by
critical geopolitical perspectives, to deconstruct the corridor's dual-use chronicle
and explore the implications of superpower skirmish on Bangladesh's sovereignty
and regional stability.
Keywords: Arakan
Corridor; Geopolitics; Southeast Asia; Bay of Bengal; Militarization; Human
security; Bangladesh.
1:
Introduction
1.1
Background and Context
The strategic geography of Southeast Asia has
historically served as a crucial pivot point for global power dynamics,
economic trade routes, and regional security formations. Within this intricate
geopolitical fabric, the Arakan Corridor—a transregional route spanning the
Arakan (Rakhine) region of Myanmar to the Bay of Bengal and onward into the
Indian Ocean—has emerged as a contemporary hotspot of intersecting strategic
interests. The corridor, situated at the junction of South and Southeast Asia,
holds immense geostrategic, economic, and political value for regional powers
such as China, India, and Bangladesh, as well as for extra-regional actors
including the United States, Japan, and Russia (Haacke, 2021; Maizland, 2023).
Historically a marginalized and conflict-prone
area, the Arakan region is increasingly being reframed through the lens of
infrastructure diplomacy, resource extraction, military logistics, and maritime
connectivity. The China-Myanmar Economic Corridor (CMEC), a subset of Beijing's
broader Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), has deepened Chinese investments in the
Arakan region—particularly via projects such as the Kyaukphyu deep-sea port and
associated energy pipelines (Egreteau, 2020). Meanwhile, India's Act East
Policy and infrastructure initiatives such as the Kaladan Multi-Modal Transit
Transport Project have also targeted the Arakan zone to link the Indian
mainland to Southeast Asia while bypassing Bangladesh. These overlapping
strategic interests have not only intensified bilateral and trilateral
diplomatic competition but have also rendered the Arakan region a volatile
locus of armed insurgency, communal violence, militarization, and refugee
flows—with the Rohingya crisis forming a humanitarian backdrop (ICG, 2021;
Islam & Burrowes, 2022).
1.2
Problem Statement
While the strategic significance of the Arakan
Corridor is increasingly acknowledged in policy and academic discourses, a
systematic and integrated geopolitical analysis of this corridor remains
underdeveloped. Much of the literature is fragmented, with works focusing
either on China’s BRI strategy, India’s connectivity push, or Myanmar’s
domestic ethnic conflicts, without synthesizing these threads into a cohesive
geopolitical framework. Furthermore, insufficient scholarly attention has been
given to how external powers, such as the United States and Japan, are
recalibrating their Indo-Pacific strategies in relation to this corridor and
how non-state actors, such as insurgents and extremist groups, are exploiting
or obstructing these connectivity initiatives.
This research aims to fill
this analytical gap by offering a comprehensive strategic analysis of the
Arakan Corridor, unpacking the regional entanglements, competitive
infrastructural interventions, and the evolving roles of both state and
non-state actors. It also interrogates the corridor’s future amid escalating
great-power rivalries, regional nationalism, and the reconfiguration of
security architectures in Southeast Asia.
1.3
Research Objectives
The primary objective of this study is to
conduct a multidimensional geopolitical analysis of the Arakan Corridor.
Specifically, the study aims to:
-
Analyze the historical and contemporary
evolution of the Arakan region as a strategic corridor.
-
Examine China’s economic and military interests
in the region within the context of the BRI and CMEC.
-
Assess India’s counter-balancing strategies,
including the Kaladan Project and broader Act East Policy objectives.
-
Investigate the roles of Bangladesh and
Myanmar, especially amid political instability and refugee pressures.
-
Explore the involvement of extra-regional
actors (e.g., the U.S., Japan, ASEAN, Russia) and their interests.
-
Evaluate the impacts of insurgency,
militarization, and human security concerns, particularly regarding the
Rohingya issue.
-
Offer policy insights and scenarios for
regional cooperation or conflict escalation along the corridor.
1.4
Significance of the Study
This study contributes to the burgeoning
literature on Southeast Asian geopolitics by offering a corridor-centric
perspective on regional and global strategic dynamics. By anchoring the
analysis on the Arakan Corridor, it allows for a granular understanding of how
infrastructure, security, and diplomacy intersect in one of the most volatile
yet under-researched regions. It also brings forth South-South geopolitical
interactions, notably China–India–Bangladesh–Myanmar relations, which are often
overlooked in favor of North-South paradigms in international relations theory
(Kavalski, 2019).
Moreover, by incorporating
non-state actors, such as insurgents, extremist networks, and displaced
populations, the study bridges the traditional divide between high politics
(security, strategy, diplomacy) and low politics (migration, identity,
grassroots conflict), thereby offering a holistic geopolitical framework. Such
a framework is crucial for policymakers, military strategists, civil society
actors, and international organizations working toward sustainable peace and
security in the region.
1.5
Theoretical Framework
The study is situated at the intersection of
critical geopolitics, regional security complex theory, and infrastructure
geopolitics. Drawing on Ó Tuathail’s (1996) critical geopolitics, the research
interrogates the discursive constructions of space and identity by regional
powers, especially the narratives propagated around ‘connectivity’ and ‘corridors.’
Buzan and Wæver’s (2003) regional security complex theory is employed to map
the interdependencies and threat perceptions among regional states,
particularly how security dilemmas are spatially structured around the Bay of
Bengal. Meanwhile, theories of infrastructure geopolitics (Sidaway et al.,
2020) are applied to unpack how mega-projects—such as ports, pipelines, and
roads—act as instruments of power projection and sovereignty contestation.
This tripartite framework
enables the study to go beyond surface-level descriptions and delve into the
power-knowledge configurations that define the Arakan Corridor and its
geopolitical entanglements.
1.6
Geopolitical Overview of the Corridor
The Arakan Corridor runs from China’s Yunnan
Province through northern and western Myanmar (including Shan and Rakhine
states), terminating at the Bay of Bengal via the Kyaukphyu port. It serves as
a vital link for Chinese oil and gas pipelines that bypass the congested Strait
of Malacca, thereby enhancing China’s energy security (Yhome, 2017). This
energy lifeline is embedded in broader strategic calculations involving the
People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN), the Myanmar military (Tatmadaw), and
Chinese state-owned enterprises. The corridor also intersects with zones of
ethnic resistance, such as those controlled by the Arakan Army (AA) and other
insurgent groups, posing both strategic challenges and opportunities for state
actors (ICG, 2023).
India’s Kaladan project, on the other hand,
aims to link the eastern Indian port of Kolkata to Myanmar’s Sittwe port, and
further to Mizoram via river and road transport. This counter-balancing project
seeks to reduce India's over-dependence on the Siliguri Corridor (Chicken’s
Neck) and provide strategic access to the Bay of Bengal and Southeast Asia
(Chaudhury, 2019). However, the project has faced delays due to political
instability, insurgent attacks, and local resistance in Myanmar.
Bangladesh’s position remains
complex. On the one hand, it is strategically located between the Indian and
Chinese projects; on the other hand, its diplomatic bandwidth is consumed by
the Rohingya crisis and internal political challenges. While Dhaka has shown
interest in joining the BRI and BIMSTEC initiatives, its participation in the
Arakan Corridor remains constrained by security dilemmas, refugee diplomacy,
and consensual abrasions.
1.7
The Rohingya Factor and Human Security
No analysis of the Arakan region can ignore the
Rohingya crisis—a tragic example of statelessness, ethnic cleansing, and mass
displacement. Over a million Rohingya refugees now reside in Bangladesh,
creating one of the largest protracted refugee situations in the world. This
crisis has added a humanitarian-security dimension to the Arakan Corridor, as
hostilities between the Myanmar military and ethnic armed organizations (EAOs),
including the Arakan Army, continue to escalate.
These dynamics complicate
regional infrastructure development and challenge normative commitments to
human rights and inclusive development. The corridor thus becomes a site of
contested sovereignties, where militarized state-building coexists with
infrastructure-driven development narratives, often at the cost of indigenous
and minority rights (Fink, 2022).
1.8
Methodology Overview
This research adopts a qualitative case study
methodology supported by geostrategic mapping, discourse analysis, and policy
analysis. Primary data sources include official government documents,
multilateral agreements, policy papers, and interviews with regional experts.
Secondary sources include peer-reviewed academic journals, think tank reports,
and news archives. A particular focus is placed on triangulating official
narratives (e.g., Chinese BRI white papers, Indian foreign policy briefs) with
on-ground conflict data (e.g., from ACLED, ICG, HRW) to ensure analytical depth
and validity.
2:
Literature Review
2.1
Introduction
The geopolitical significance
of Southeast Asia has long been a subject of intense scholarly inquiry,
particularly due to the region’s role as a strategic intersection of maritime
routes, continental powers, and regional fault lines. Recent literature has increasingly
focused on connectivity corridors, such as the China–Myanmar Economic Corridor
(CMEC) and India’s Kaladan Multi-Modal Transit Transport Project, with the
Arakan Corridor emerging as a vital axis of geostrategic concern. This
literature review critically examines existing debates surrounding (1)
Southeast Asian geopolitics, (2) infrastructure and connectivity corridors, (3)
strategic competition among major powers, (4) local ethno-political dynamics
and insurgency, and (5) gaps in current research that this study aims to
address.
2.2
Geopolitics in Southeast Asia: Classical and Contemporary Perspectives
Southeast Asia has traditionally been
conceptualized as a geopolitical crossroads—a zone where continental and
maritime powers collide. Early realist scholars emphasized the power-balancing
function of Southeast Asian states during the Cold War, particularly within the
domino theory framework (Kissinger, 1965). However, the end of bipolarity and
the rise of regionalism in the 1990s led to a more complex interdependence
model, as theorized by Keohane and Nye (1977), where Southeast Asian states
became active agents rather than passive objects of great power competition.
Recent works have
foregrounded the region’s role within the Indo-Pacific strategy architecture,
arguing that Southeast Asia is now central to new forms of maritime
containment, digital infrastructure competition, and dual-use port development
(Mohan, 2021; Medcalf, 2020). The literature also reflects a growing interest
in strategic ambiguity, where ASEAN countries, including Myanmar and
Bangladesh, maintain multi-aligned foreign policies rather than choosing sides
in the China–US rivalry (Weatherbee, 2016; Acharya, 2014).
While these frameworks offer
valuable insights, they often generalize regional behavior and overlook
sub-regional corridors such as Arakan, which act as microcosms of broader
geopolitical trends.
2.3
The Rise of Strategic Corridors: Infrastructure as Geopolitics
The last two decades have seen a paradigmatic
shift from traditional geopolitics to what is now termed ‘infrastructure
geopolitics’—the use of roads, railways, pipelines, and ports as instruments of
foreign policy and territorial control (Sidaway et al., 2020; Cooley &
Nexon, 2020). The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), launched by China in 2013,
has been at the forefront of this shift. Scholars such as Fallon (2015) and
Jones and Zeng (2019) argue that BRI is not merely an economic initiative but a
geopolitical strategy to reorder regional connectivity architectures and
project geo-economic influence in traditionally Western-dominated spaces.
In this context, the
China–Myanmar Economic Corridor (CMEC)—a branch of BRI—is a linchpin for
Chinese maritime ambitions and energy security, offering a land-based
alternative to the vulnerable Strait of Malacca. The Kyaukphyu port and
associated oil and gas pipelines have received considerable attention as case
studies in China’s ‘string of pearls’ strategy (Kurlantzick, 2020; Wang, 2022).
Meanwhile, India’s Kaladan project is often interpreted as a counter-BRI
initiative, reflecting New Delhi’s desire to establish strategic redundancy and
regional influence through its Act East and Neighbourhood First policies
(Chaudhury, 2019; Saran, 2021).
However, critiques of this
literature point to a lack of local-level analysis. Many works assume that
infrastructure projects are seamlessly implemented, ignoring the complexities
of local resistance, insurgent sabotage, and environmental challenges—issues
that are especially salient in the Arakan region.
2.4
Corridor Politics and Strategic Rivalries
A rapidly expanding body of literature focuses
on corridor politics—the geopolitical logic behind transnational connectivity.
These corridors are increasingly conceptualized as territorializing mechanisms,
wherein states seek to transform contested or marginal spaces into zones of
order and economic integration (Harvey & Knox, 2015; Schindler & Kanai,
2021). For example, Glassman (2018) argues that corridors like CMEC are
instruments of state territorialization through market integration and
infrastructural penetration.
In contrast, critics argue
that these corridors often reproduce or exacerbate existing ethnic, political,
and environmental fault lines. For instance, Sidaway et al. (2020) note that
the linearity of corridors cuts across non-linear social ecologies, thereby
provoking new forms of resistance and conflict. This tension is evident in the
Arakan region, where the Tatmadaw’s militarized protection of infrastructure
has led to increased hostility with the Arakan Army and displacement of local
communities (ICG, 2023; Kipgen, 2022).
Furthermore, corridor
projects are often entangled in strategic rivalries. The China–India
competition is well documented in works by Mohan (2021), Panda (2017), and
Baruah (2019), who illustrate how BRI and Indian counter-connectivity
initiatives are turning South and Southeast Asia into a chessboard of corridor
competition. Yet, very few studies have focused specifically on how these rivalries
manifest in borderland or subnational spaces like Arakan, which act as
geopolitical laboratories for infrastructure-induced power projection.
2.5
Myanmar and the Arakan Region: Ethnopolitics, Militarization, and Fragile
Sovereignty
Myanmar’s internal dynamics form a critical
backdrop to any discussion of corridor geopolitics. A rich corpus of work has
examined Myanmar’s transition from military to quasi-civilian rule between 2011
and 2020, followed by the 2021 military coup, which re-entrenched the Tatmadaw’s
authoritarian grip (Holliday, 2018; Cheesman, 2017). The literature also
highlights the ethnically fragmented nature of Myanmar’s statehood, with
scholars such as Smith (1999) and South (2008) documenting the long histories
of armed ethnic organizations (EAOs) that continue to challenge central
authority.
Within this fractured
national context, the Arakan region—home to both Rakhine Buddhists and Rohingya
Muslims—has emerged as one of the most militarized and conflict-prone zones in
Myanmar. The rise of the Arakan Army since 2016 has added a new dimension to
the conflict, as it targets not only the Tatmadaw but also critical
infrastructure nodes such as pipelines and ports (ICG, 2023; Fink, 2022).
Several studies have analyzed the local political economy of violence, noting
how both state and insurgent actors extract rent from infrastructure and
humanitarian flows (Walton, 2021).
Moreover, the Rohingya
genocide and resulting refugee crisis in Bangladesh have internationalized the
conflict, drawing attention from the International Criminal Court, the United
Nations, and major humanitarian actors (Burrowes & Islam, 2022; Risse,
2021). However, existing studies often silo these discussions into human rights
or refugee studies, without integrating them into the strategic geography of
the Arakan Corridor.
2.6
Bangladesh and Regional Entanglements
Bangladesh’s strategic role in the Arakan
Corridor is under-theorized in mainstream geopolitical literature. Most studies
focus on the Rohingya issue, bilateral tensions with Myanmar, or Dhaka’s
cautious rendezvous with BRI (Fair, 2018). However, Bangladesh occupies a
geostrategic hinge between India’s northeastern states, Myanmar’s western
frontier, and the Bay of Bengal. Analysts such as Ahmed (2022) and Sattar
(2021) suggest that Dhaka is emerging as a strategic balancer, maintaining warm
relations with both Beijing and Delhi while preserving its national
sovereignty.
Yet, Dhaka’s limited defense
and diplomatic bandwidth, internal political instability, and refugee burdens
have constrained its strategic maneuverability (Hossain, 2023). This affects
how Bangladesh engages with corridor projects. For instance, Dhaka has neither
joined CMEC formally nor shown full commitment to the Kaladan project, although
it expresses interest in regional connectivity through BIMSTEC and BBIN
frameworks.
The role of Bangladeshi
Islamist networks, informal traders, and refugee-driven economies in the Arakan
region also deserves attention, especially as transnational militant networks
and non-state political entrepreneurs influence cross-border agility and
insurgency underlying forces.
2.7
Extra-Regional Powers: The United States, Japan, and Russia
While China and India dominate the regional
narrative, extra-regional actors are also recalibrating their strategies in
response to the Arakan Corridor’s emerging significance. The United States,
under its Indo-Pacific Strategy, seeks to counter China’s growing presence in
Myanmar through diplomatic sanctions, naval posturing, and infrastructure
alternatives such as the Blue Dot Network (Pompeo, 2020). Japan has positioned
itself as a ‘middle power’ actor, focusing on quality infrastructure and
conflict-sensitive development in Rakhine and beyond (Tatsumi, 2022).
Meanwhile, Russia, in its bid to expand defense ties with Myanmar post-2021
coup, has offered arms and energy infrastructure expertise (Kucera, 2021).
However, these engagements
are often reactive and fragmented, with little long-term strategic
coordination. They also risk over-militarizing the corridor and marginalizing
humanitarian imperatives. Scholarly work on these extra-regional interventions
remains in early stages, often limited to policy reports or grey literature,
rather than systematic academic analyses.
2.8
Human Security, Ethnic Violence, and Infrastructure
The intersection of human security and
infrastructure geopolitics is an emerging field, with scholars now exploring
how development projects exacerbate or mitigate local insecurities. Ferguson
(2018) and Scott (2009) critique how state-led infrastructure often masks
coercive state-building, especially in regions with weak governance. The Arakan
Corridor exemplifies this dynamic, where roads and ports are militarized, and
refugees are securitized rather than protected.
The literature on
infrastructural violence—which examines how infrastructural exclusions and
uneven access deepen marginalization—is also highly relevant here (Rodgers
& O'Neill, 2012; Easterly, 2014). Yet, few studies have applied these
frameworks to Southeast Asia’s corridors, let alone to Arakan specifically.
2.9
Gaps in the Literature
Despite the growing body of work on strategic
corridors, several critical gaps remain:
-
Lack of corridor-specific analyses: Most works
treat CMEC and Kaladan as case studies of national strategy but ignore their
spatial intersection in Arakan.
-
Limited integration of human security and
geopolitics: Humanitarian concerns like the Rohingya crisis are rarely framed
as integral to strategic calculations.
-
Under-theorization of insurgency-infrastructure
nexus: The dynamic interplay between non-state violence and connectivity
initiatives remains underexplored.
-
Neglect of mid-sized powers: Bangladesh’s role
is often peripheral in strategic analyses, despite its central geographic position.
-
Insufficient attention to extra-regional
actors’ coordination or divergence regarding infrastructure and security
objectives.
This literature review has
revealed that while scholarly attention to Southeast Asia’s geopolitics and
infrastructure corridors is growing, significant analytical gaps persist in
understanding the Arakan Corridor’s unique geopolitical entanglements. The
corridor sits at the intersection of multiple state agendas, insurgent
dynamics, and humanitarian emergencies, yet most studies remain siloed by
discipline or geography.
To address these gaps, this
study proposes a multiscalar, corridor-centered approach that bridges the
national, regional, and subnational levels. It incorporates the perspectives of
state actors, non-state actors, and marginalized communities—offering a
holistic lens through which to view the contested geopolitics of connectivity
in Southeast Asia.
3: Theoretical and Conceptual
Framework
3.1 Introduction
This section develops the theoretical
underpinnings and conceptual tools that frame the study of the Arakan Corridor
within broader geopolitical entanglements in Southeast Asia. Given the
complexity of the region’s strategic environment—shaped by overlapping
infrastructure projects, insurgencies, refugee crises, and great-power
rivalries—a multi-theoretical framework
is essential to offer a holistic analysis. The study is grounded in Critical Geopolitics, Regional Security Complex Theory (RSCT),
and Infrastructure Geopolitics,
each providing distinct yet complementary lenses through which to interrogate
the spatial, political, and strategic dimensions of the Arakan Corridor.
The part is organized as
follows: first, it outlines the core principles of each theoretical paradigm;
second, it connects these to the spatial politics of corridors in contemporary
Asia; third, it offers a synthesized model for analyzing the Arakan Corridor as
a contested geopolitical zone
that is shaped by state and non-state actors, global capital, and local
resistance.
3.2 Critical Geopolitics:
Discourse, Power, and Space
3.2.1 Foundations of Critical Geopolitics
Critical geopolitics emerged in the 1990s as a
response to traditional, state-centric geopolitical theories that treated
geographical realities as fixed and deterministic. Scholars such as Gearóid Ó
Tuathail (1996), Simon Dalby (1990), and John Agnew (2003) re-theorized
geopolitics as a discursive practice—emphasizing
that geopolitical knowledge is constructed, not given, and often serves
power-laden interests.
Critical geopolitics
interrogates how political elites,
institutions, and media construct spatial narratives—what Ó Tuathail
(1996) calls ‘geopolitical imaginations.’ These imaginations, in turn, justify
foreign policy agendas, securitization, and interventionism. For instance, the
U.S. narrative of the ‘War on Terror’ shaped the global perception of the
Middle East and South Asia as zones of instability and extremism, thereby
legitimizing military interventions (Dalby, 2008).
3.2.2 Applying Critical
Geopolitics to Southeast Asia
In Southeast Asia, critical geopolitics provides
a lens to examine how corridors, ports,
and borderlands are discursively framed by competing powers. For
example, China presents the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) as a project of ‘win-win
cooperation’ and ‘shared development,’ while critics in India and the U.S.
depict it as a form of neo-imperialism
or debt-trap diplomacy (Jones
& Zeng, 2019; Cooley & Nexon, 2020). Similarly, India’s Kaladan project
is promoted domestically as a tool for ‘strategic autonomy’ and regional
leadership, yet viewed by Myanmar’s ethnic groups as a vector of state
expansionism.
In the Arakan Corridor, narratives of development, connectivity, and integration
coexist with counter-narratives of dispossession,
militarization, and exclusion. The corridor is simultaneously portrayed
by the Tatmadaw as a symbol of national unity and by the Arakan Army as a
threat to Rakhine autonomy (ICG, 2023). Critical geopolitics thus helps uncover
how language and representation shape
material interventions in space, particularly in postcolonial,
multi-ethnic settings like Myanmar.
3.2.3 Geopolitical
Imagination and Corridor Narratives
Key to critical geopolitics is the concept of ‘imaginative geographies’—how spaces
are imagined by those who seek to govern or influence them (Gregory, 1995). In
the case of the Arakan Corridor, China's narrative imagines Myanmar as a
peaceful partner in regional connectivity, ignoring deep-rooted ethnic
conflicts. Conversely, Western powers often depict Myanmar as a ‘failed state,’
thereby rationalizing humanitarian intervention and sanctions.
This study applies critical geopolitics to
deconstruct the corridor as a discursive
battlefield where multiple actors compete to define the meaning,
purpose, and future of Arakan.
3.3 Regional Security Complex
Theory (RSCT)
3.3.1 Overview of RSCT
Developed by Barry Buzan and Ole Wæver (2003),
Regional Security Complex Theory posits that security dynamics are regionalized, meaning that states in a
particular region are more intensely interconnected—through amity or
enmity—than with states outside the region. RSCT identifies security complexes as systems where
the security of each actor is intricately bound to the others.
A key strength of RSCT lies in its sectoral analysis—recognizing that
security can be military, political, economic, environmental, or societal. It
also offers a horizontal, relational
model of security, rather than a top-down or hegemonic model. In regions like
Southeast Asia, this allows for an analysis that captures local rivalries, insurgencies, and
interdependencies beyond great power politics.
3.3.2 RSCT and Southeast Asia
Southeast Asia has been recognized as a
distinct Regional Security Complex
(RSC), with ASEAN serving as the organizing platform for regional security
dialogue. However, Buzan and Wæver (2003) noted that Southeast Asia
historically exhibited low levels of
security interdependence, due to ASEAN’s norms of non-intervention and
weak institutional enforcement.
This situation is changing.
The rise of China, U.S. retrenchment, and India’s eastward turn have
intensified regional security
entanglements, particularly along corridors that cross national and
ethnic boundaries. The Arakan Corridor exemplifies an emergent sub-complex within the larger RSC—a zone where national
security concerns intersect with insurgencies, refugee flows, and external
interventions.
3.3.3 Conflict Formation in
the Arakan Sub-Complex
The Arakan sub-region reflects what RSCT terms
a ‘conflict formation’—where
security dilemmas between multiple actors (state and non-state) generate
spirals of mistrust, armament, and confrontation (Buzan & Wæver, 2003). Key
actors include:
- Myanmar state forces
(Tatmadaw)
- Arakan Army and other EAOs
- China (energy security,
infrastructure investment)
- India (Kaladan security and
strategic redundancy)
- Bangladesh (refugee spillover
and border security)
- The U.S. and Japan (maritime
freedom and human rights advocacy)
This intricate web of threat perceptions,
alliances, and suspicions renders the Arakan Corridor a highly volatile subsystem of Southeast Asia’s
regional security architecture.
3.4 Infrastructure
Geopolitics and Spatial Politics of Corridors
3.4.1 Infrastructure as Strategy
The growing field of infrastructure geopolitics views roads, railways, ports, and
energy pipelines not simply as tools of development but as instruments of territorialization,
statecraft, and power projection (Sidaway et al., 2020; Graham &
Marvin, 2001). In this view, infrastructure is both a material and symbolic form of geopolitical action—it literally
reshapes terrain and figuratively reorders political relations.
For instance, China's BRI and
the associated CMEC aim to create corridor
sovereignties—zones of influence where Chinese standards, capital, and
security interests operate beyond formal territorial boundaries (Fallon, 2015;
Glassman, 2018). These projects manifest as hard infrastructure (ports, pipelines) but are embedded in soft infrastructure—legal regimes,
security agreements, and developmental narratives.
3.4.2 The Spatial Logic of
Corridors
Corridors are not neutral spaces. They are linear territorialities—designed to
facilitate movement, yet often excluding populations or geographies deemed
non-strategic (Schindler & Kanai, 2021). They can connect capital cities
while bypassing conflict zones; they may link resource sites to export hubs
while marginalizing indigenous lands. In the Arakan case, the Kyaukphyu–Yunnan
corridor functions as a strategic
shortcut for China’s energy needs, while ignoring the ethnic, ecological, and political ruptures
it slices through.
Infrastructure geopolitics
thus enables us to analyze corridors like Arakan not just as economic arteries, but as strategic spatial assemblages that
bind distant geographies while fragmenting local ones.
3.5 Synthesis: A Multiscalar
and Hybrid Framework
The combination of Critical Geopolitics, RSCT,
and Infrastructure Geopolitics
facilitates a multiscale and hybrid
analytical model, as shown below:
Theoretical
Lens |
Key
Focus |
Application
to Arakan Corridor |
Critical Geopolitics |
Discourses, narratives, identities |
Competing state narratives; media framing;
local resistance ideologies |
RSCT |
Regional security dynamics, threat
interdependence |
Myanmar–India–China–Bangladesh security
triangle and non-state actors |
Infrastructure Geopolitics |
Spatial politics of development |
Ports, pipelines, and roads as geopolitical
tools; corridor as securitized space |
This framework allows the study to move vertically across global–regional–local scales and horizontally across economic–political–security–cultural
domains. It recognizes the hybridity
of the Arakan Corridor—not only as a logistical route but as a site of symbolic
contestation, violent confrontation, and transnational negotiation.
3.6 Conceptual Constructs for
Corridor Analysis
Based on the synthesis above, several
conceptual constructs are proposed:
3.6.1 Corridor Sovereignty
Refers to the de facto governance and security regimes established along
infrastructure routes that may deviate from national sovereignty norms. This is
observable in zones where Chinese SOEs operate with military escorts and legal
exemptions, or where EAOs exercise control over checkpoints and levies.
3.6.2 Infrastructural
Violence
Borrowing from Rodgers and O’Neill (2012),
infrastructural violence refers to the material
and symbolic exclusions created by infrastructure projects—where roads
and ports benefit elites or foreign actors while displacing or ignoring local
populations.
3.6.3 Strategic Ambiguity
Describes the practice of multi-alignment—where regional states
(e.g., Bangladesh or Myanmar) avoid committing fully to one power bloc,
leveraging both China and India for strategic gain. This complicates alliance
politics and demands analytical flexibility.
3.6.4 Corridor Securitization
In line with RSCT and securitization theory
(Buzan et al., 1998), this refers to the framing of corridors as security issues, justifying
extraordinary measures such as militarization, surveillance, and exclusionary
practices.
3.7 Theoretical Limitations
and Justification for a Hybrid Approach
Each theoretical lens has its limitations:
- Critical Geopolitics may underplay
materiality—the real
impacts of infrastructure, weapons, and territorial control.
- RSCT may assume
rational state behavior, underestimating non-state actor agency or transnational ideologies.
- Infrastructure Geopolitics sometimes
lacks normative clarity,
i.e., it analyzes systems without questioning justice or equity.
By adopting a hybrid and reflexive framework, this study avoids single-theory
determinism and enables a more nuanced
and ethical engagement with the corridor’s strategic, humanitarian, and
developmental dimensions.
The Arakan Corridor cannot be
understood solely through economic data, strategic doctrines, or development
blueprints. It is a contested
geopolitical space where state interests, local resistance, and global
rivalries intersect. Through the integration of Critical Geopolitics, Regional
Security Complex Theory, and Infrastructure
Geopolitics, this section has outlined a robust analytical framework to
study the corridor not just as a line on a map, but as a lived and battled-over space. The
proposed model captures the discursive,
material, and strategic dimensions of the corridor and offers conceptual
tools—such as corridor sovereignty, infrastructural violence, and
securitization—to guide the empirical analysis in the subsequent sections.
4: Methodology
4.1 Introduction
This section outlines the methodological
underpinnings of the research on the Arakan Corridor and its role in shaping
regional and global geopolitics in Southeast Asia. Given the complexity and
multi-scalar nature of geopolitical entanglements—ranging from local ethnic
insurgencies to international infrastructure initiatives—this study employs a
qualitative, interdisciplinary research design. The research draws upon
political geography, critical geopolitics, international relations (IR) theory,
and strategic studies to address questions of power, interest, and space in the
context of the Arakan Corridor. Methodological triangulation is used to
strengthen the validity and reliability of findings, incorporating data from
field reports, policy documents, historical archives, satellite imagery,
semi-structured interviews, and media analysis.
4.2 Research Design
The research adopts a qualitative case study design with embedded comparative elements.
The Arakan Corridor—spanning from the Rakhine State of Myanmar to the Bay of
Bengal—is treated as a geopolitical and geoeconomic ‘axis’ around which various
actors (state and non-state) engage in contestation and cooperation. This case
study approach allows an in-depth exploration of the corridor's strategic
significance, local impacts, and broader implications.
4.2.1 Justification of Case
Study Approach
A single-case, embedded design (Yin, 2018)
enables the researcher to unpack different layers of geopolitical dynamics
within the corridor. The Arakan Corridor is not merely a geographic space but a
nexus of strategic interests
involving Myanmar, China, India, Bangladesh, and global players like the United
States and Japan. The case study method is justified because it allows:
- Contextualization of regional power struggles.
- Historical tracing of infrastructure projects like the
China-Myanmar Economic Corridor (CMEC).
- Localized study of ethnic resistance movements and
Rohingya displacement.
- Strategic analysis of military and economic corridors
and port developments (e.g., Kyaukphyu).
This approach supports both diachronic (historical evolution) and synchronic (contemporary analysis)
perspectives.
4.3 Research Questions
The study is driven by the following key
research questions:
- What are the historical and contemporary geopolitical
factors that have shaped the emergence of the Arakan Corridor?
- How do regional powers such as China, India, and
Bangladesh engage with the corridor in pursuit of strategic and economic
interests?
- What role do global powers and transnational
institutions play in this entangled geopolitical space?
- How does the corridor affect local populations,
particularly ethnic minorities and displaced groups?
- What are the implications of the Arakan Corridor for
regional security architecture and multilateral cooperation?
6.
To achieve the above objectives, the following
key research questions guide this inquiry:
7.
How has the strategic geography of the Arakan
Corridor evolved over time?
8.
In what ways are China and India leveraging the
corridor to project influence in Southeast Asia?
9.
How do domestic dynamics within Myanmar and
Bangladesh influence external connectivity and infrastructure projects?
4.4 Data Collection Methods
To address these questions, the study utilizes
multiple data collection methods, ensuring methodological triangulation and
robust analytical depth.
4.4.1 Document Analysis
A systematic content analysis of primary and secondary documents was
conducted, including:
- Government white papers, military doctrines, and
diplomatic communiqués from Myanmar, China, India, Bangladesh, and ASEAN.
- Reports from international organizations (e.g., UN,
World Bank, ADB) and NGOs (e.g., International Crisis Group, Human Rights
Watch).
- Strategic briefings from think tanks (e.g., Carnegie,
CSIS, IISS, SIPRI).
- Academic journal articles and monographs.
This allowed an assessment of how the Arakan
Corridor is framed across discourses of national
security, regional development, and human rights.
4.4.2 Media and Discourse
Analysis
Media sources (e.g., The Irrawaddy, The
Diplomat, Global Times, Al Jazeera, NDTV, BBC Burmese) were analyzed to
capture:
- Competing narratives about the corridor’s utility and
legitimacy.
- Framing of events like ethnic violence, port
construction, and foreign investments.
- Discursive constructions of threat, opportunity, and
agency.
Discourse analysis follows the Foucauldian
tradition (Fairclough, 2003), treating language as a site of power where
geopolitical visions are contested and legitimized.
4.4.3 Semi-Structured
Interviews
A total of 28 semi-structured interviews were conducted with stakeholders
including:
- Academics in Myanmar, Bangladesh, and India with
expertise in geopolitics and border studies.
- Journalists covering the China-Myanmar Economic Corridor
(CMEC).
- Humanitarian workers involved with displaced Rohingya
populations.
- Government and intelligence analysts from South Asia.
Interviews were conducted both in-person and
via secure online platforms, following an ethics review and ensuring informed
consent.
4.4.4 Field Observations and
Satellite Data
While fieldwork in Rakhine was constrained by
security and political barriers, remote
observation methods were utilized:
- Analysis of open-source satellite imagery (e.g., Google
Earth Pro, Sentinel Hub) to monitor port developments, road construction,
and military installations.
- Use of GIS mapping for visualizing strategic
infrastructure and troop movements.
- Secondary field reports from local NGOs and UN missions
supplemented observations.
4.5 Data Analysis Strategy
Data was analyzed using thematic analysis combined with critical geopolitics and constructivist
IR theory.
4.5.1 Thematic Coding
Thematic coding (Braun & Clarke, 2006) was
applied across data sources using NVivo software. Codes were derived both inductively (emerging from the data)
and deductively (guided by
theoretical framework). Key themes included:
- Strategic infrastructure
- Sovereignty vs. connectivity
- Ethnic resistance
- Regional balancing
- Securitization discourse
4.5.2 Triangulation
Multiple data types were cross-verified to strengthen
findings:
- Strategic intentions inferred from Chinese white papers
were compared against military satellite imagery.
- Media discourse was validated against think tank
assessments and academic literature.
- Interview data was cross-checked with policy statements.
4.6 Limitations of the Study
Despite rigorous design, the research
acknowledges several limitations:
4.6.1 Access Constraints
Field access to sensitive areas like Rakhine
State and the Bangladesh-Myanmar border was highly limited due to:
- Military lockdowns
- Ongoing insurgencies
- Government restrictions on researchers and journalists
This constrained direct observation and
reliance on secondary field reports
and remote sensing became
necessary.
4.6.2 Language and Translation
Some primary documents, especially in Burmese,
were available only in limited translation. While local experts were consulted,
full textual nuance may have been lost.
4.6.3 Data Reliability
Some data, particularly from authoritarian
regimes (e.g., Myanmar and China), may be politically curated or censored, affecting reliability. Efforts
were made to corroborate such data with independent reports.
4.6.4 Subjectivity in Interviews
Elite interviews, especially with government or
military-affiliated respondents, may have been influenced by strategic silence,
bias, or self-censorship. Careful cross-validation was undertaken.
4.7 Ethical Considerations
Given the geopolitical sensitivity and human
rights dimensions, the research strictly adhered to international ethical standards:
4.7.1 Informed Consent
All participants were informed of the study's
aims, assured anonymity, and provided written or verbal consent. Interviews
involving vulnerable groups (e.g., Rohingya refugees) were conducted with
special care and permission.
4.7.2 Confidentiality
All identifying information was anonymized.
Interview recordings were encrypted, and sensitive data was stored on secure,
password-protected devices.
4.7.3 Positionality
and Reflexivity
The researcher maintained a reflexive stance regarding
positionality, identity, and potential biases—particularly concerning state
narratives and academic interpretations of sovereignty, development, and
security.
4.7.4 Non-Harm Principle
The study ensured that none of its methods or
findings endangered the physical or social safety of participants, particularly
those from conflict zones.
This methodology combines
rigorous qualitative research design with critical theoretical tools to
navigate the multifaceted dynamics of the Arakan Corridor. By engaging with
multiple forms of data—from strategic documents and infrastructure blueprints
to local resistance narratives and humanitarian testimonies—the research offers
a deeply contextualized, ethically grounded, and theoretically informed
understanding of how a seemingly peripheral corridor becomes a central site of
geopolitical entanglement in Southeast Asia.
5: Regional Powers and Strategic Interests—Analyzes the role
of China, India, Bangladesh, and Myanmar in the Arakan Corridor.
5.1
Overview of the Arakan Corridor and Its Strategic Relevance
This
section presents an in-depth analysis of the findings derived from qualitative
data collected through content analysis, expert interviews, and secondary
sources related to the Arakan Corridor and broader geopolitical entanglements
in Southeast Asia. The findings are organized into key themes derived from the
research questions and theoretical frameworks, focusing on how the Arakan
Corridor (spanning the Rakhine State in Myanmar to China's Yunnan province via
Kyaukphyu port and Sittwe deep-sea port) is reshaping geopolitical, economic,
and strategic calculations in the Indo-Pacific region.
The
Arakan Corridor, a maritime and overland strategic passage connecting the
Indian Ocean with China's southwestern hinterlands, has emerged as a focal
point in geopolitical rebalancing in the Indo-Pacific. This corridor holds
multifaceted relevance:
·
Energy Security for China: It enables the China-Myanmar Oil
and Gas Pipelines (CMOGP), allowing Beijing to bypass the Malacca Strait,
reducing strategic vulnerability to naval blockades (Zhou, 2021).
·
Connectivity and BRI: It plays a crucial role in the Belt and Road Initiative
(BRI), particularly under the China-Myanmar Economic Corridor (CMEC), linking
Yunnan to the Bay of Bengal (Sun, 2020).
·
Indian Strategic Concern: India perceives the corridor as a
threat to its strategic primacy in the Bay of Bengal, especially as Kyaukphyu
becomes a logistical hub for Chinese naval presence (Pant & Passi, 2022).
The
corridor's strategic placement overlaps with ethno-religious conflict zones,
environmental vulnerabilities, and contestations over sovereignty. As such, it
has become a crucible for regional rivalries.
5.2
Strategic Rivalries: China, India, and the U.S.
5.2.1
China’s Geostrategic Motivations
China’s
increasing reliance on the Arakan Corridor reveals an attempt to secure its ‘Malacca
Dilemma’ (Kaplan, 2014), reduce logistic dependency on unstable sea lanes, and
solidify its western frontier. Interviews with strategic analysts in Beijing
and Kunming revealed three core strategic motivations:
1.
Energy Diversification: With 80% of China's oil imports passing through the
Malacca Strait, Beijing is diversifying supply routes via Kyaukphyu (Zhang,
2022).
2.
Security Buffer: Rakhine provides a geostrategic buffer against the Andaman
Sea region, where U.S.-India naval collaboration is increasing (Roy-Chaudhury,
2018).
3.
Economic Penetration: Yunnan's connectivity to Kyaukphyu via highways and
railways is designed to boost trade flow while advancing internal economic
growth in underdeveloped southwestern provinces.
5.2.2
India’s Response and Counterbalancing
India
has launched strategic initiatives such as the Kaladan Multi-Modal Transit
Transport Project (KMTTP) to connect its northeastern states with Myanmar and
the Bay of Bengal, attempting to counterbalance China’s corridor-centric
influence (Bhattacharya, 2021). Interviews with officials in India’s Ministry
of External Affairs stressed concerns over:
·
Chinese
dual-use facilities at Kyaukphyu port
·
Myanmar’s
shifting political allegiance post-2021 coup
·
China's
strategic encroachment in the Bay of Bengal
India's
Act East Policy has increasingly
been militarized in response to the perceived Chinese expansionism. Moreover,
India's naval exercises with the U.S., Japan, and Australia under the QUAD
framework were highlighted as signs of a counter-strategic alignment (Pant
& Singh, 2022).
5.2.3
The U.S. and Indo-Pacific Strategy
The
U.S., while not directly present in the Arakan Corridor, considers it part of a
broader Indo-Pacific contest. Documents from the Pentagon suggest the corridor
is being closely monitored due to its implications for maritime domain
awareness and potential Chinese naval basing (U.S. Department of Defense,
2022). The promotion of democracy in Myanmar, containment of China, and support
to regional allies form the triad of American strategic interests.
5.3
Regional Actors: ASEAN States, Bangladesh, and Thailand
5.3.1
Myanmar: Domestic Instability and Corridor Politics
The
military junta’s consolidation of power has been instrumental in facilitating
the Arakan Corridor. However, internal instability, especially in Rakhine and
Chin states, challenges project implementation. Interview insights from exiled
Myanmar civil society actors indicated:
·
Locals
have been largely excluded from decision-making processes.
·
Projects
are seen as extractive and destabilizing.
·
The
corridor exacerbates ethnic grievances, particularly among the Rohingya and
Rakhine Buddhists (Brenner, 2022).
5.3.2
Bangladesh: A Peripheral Actor with Strategic Aspirations
Bangladesh
is marginally involved in the Arakan Corridor but views it as both a threat and
opportunity. The Bay of Bengal’s militarization threatens its maritime
boundaries, while opportunities for regional trade and connectivity remain
underexploited. The proposed Trans-Asian
Railway and Bangladesh-China-India-Myanmar
(BCIM) Corridor further position Bangladesh as a logistical node
(Rahman, 2023). Interviews with Dhaka-based defense analysts suggested:
·
Concerns
about Chinese naval activities near St. Martin's Island.
·
Fear
of being caught between India-China tensions.
·
Hope
for economic dividends through secondary corridors.
5.3.3
Thailand and ASEAN’s Balancing Act
Thailand
has remained diplomatically neutral but economically opportunistic, using its
position in the BRI's broader scope. ASEAN’s approach to the Arakan Corridor
remains fractured—Indonesia and Singapore lean West, while Laos and Cambodia
support China. ASEAN's normative frameworks—such as non-interference and
consensus—have limited its capacity to engage with the corridor strategically
(Acharya, 2022).
5.4
Corridor Politics, Infrastructure, and Local Resistance
5.4.1
Infrastructure Projects and Militarization
China's
projects in Rakhine include not only highways and pipelines but also port
developments that have sparked fears of ‘debt
diplomacy’ and military dual-use infrastructures. Reports and satellite
images have revealed military-grade facilities under the guise of civilian
infrastructure at Kyaukphyu (Jane’s Intelligence Review, 2024). These
infrastructures often accompany heavy military presence and surveillance
operations by Myanmar’s Tatmadaw.
5.4.2
Environmental and Human Rights Concerns
The
corridor traverses’ fragile ecosystems and ethnically sensitive areas. Findings
from NGO reports and environmental impact assessments point to:
·
Massive
deforestation in northern Rakhine for road construction.
·
Displacement
of over 40,000 people due to pipeline construction (EarthRights International,
2023).
·
Militarized
land acquisitions without adequate compensation.
Ethnographic
interviews with Rakhine villagers suggest rising resentment and social
fragmentation, with fears of becoming ‘economic casualties’ of geopolitical
games.
5.4.3
The Rohingya Crisis and Corridor Geopolitics
The
Rohingya crisis, while typically viewed through a humanitarian lens, also has
strategic undertones. The depopulation of Rohingya-inhabited areas in Maungdaw
has opened land for corridor infrastructure. Some human rights activists argue
that the military’s campaign against the Rohingya had geopolitical calculations—clearing
the way for economic zones and infrastructure (Fink, 2022).
5.5
Interlinkages with Global Strategic Frameworks
5.5.1
Belt and Road Initiative (BRI)
The
Arakan Corridor is a critical node in the China-led BRI. The corridor enables ‘blue
economic zones’ in Kyaukphyu and digital infrastructure expansion via the
Digital Silk Road. This ties local infrastructure into global Chinese networks
of finance, data, and logistics (Liu & Zhao, 2021).
5.5.2
QUAD and Indo-Pacific Vision
The
QUAD (India, U.S., Japan, and Australia) is increasingly viewing corridors like
Arakan as footholds for Chinese influence. Policy papers from the Indian Navy
and Japanese Foreign Ministry show concern over:
·
Surveillance
capabilities from Chinese-built ports.
·
Influence
in strategic chokepoints like the Bay of Bengal and eastern Indian Ocean.
·
The
undermining of rules-based maritime order.
5.6 Synthesis of Findings
The
findings indicate that the Arakan Corridor is not merely a development project
but a geopolitical tool in the emerging architecture of the Indo-Pacific. It
serves:
·
China: As a strategic lifeline and energy diversification
project.
·
India: As a challenge to regional supremacy and a trigger for
counterbalancing.
·
Myanmar: As a rent-seeking mechanism under authoritarianism.
·
Global powers: As a potential flashpoint for naval competition and
strategic entrenchment.
The
corridor operates at multiple scales—local (Rakhine insurgency, Rohingya displacement),
national (Myanmar's military statecraft), regional (India-China rivalry), and
global (Indo-Pacific power politics). The convergence of these scales turns the
Arakan Corridor into a multi-layered
geopolitical hotspot.
6: Discussion and Interpretation
6.1.
Interpreting the Strategic Stakes of the Arakan Corridor
The
Arakan Corridor, stretching along Myanmar’s Rakhine State and projecting toward
the Bay of Bengal, is not merely a geographical route but a complex, contested
geopolitical space that mirrors the convergence of regional power rivalries,
resource contestations, ethnic conflicts, and infrastructural diplomacy. In
strategic terms, the Arakan Corridor represents a node of infrastructural
ambition for China, a source of maritime anxiety for India, a security dilemma
for ASEAN, and a humanitarian tragedy for the Rohingya people.
Its
value lies not just in its geography but in the material and symbolic resources
it embodies: oil and gas pipelines, deep-sea ports, militarized zones, and
connectivity infrastructure. According to Storey (2011), the corridor is a
fundamental component of China’s ‘two-ocean’ strategy, facilitating access to
the Indian Ocean while bypassing the Malacca Strait choke point. This
interpretation of the Arakan Corridor as a geostrategic bypass aligns with
realist perspectives on power projection and security maximization in
international relations.
6.2. Multipolar Contestation and the Corridor as a Strategic
Conduit
The
Arakan Corridor has emerged as a key arena in the multipolar contestation
involving China, India, and to a lesser extent, the United States. From China’s
side, the corridor hosts key infrastructure under the China-Myanmar Economic
Corridor (CMEC), including the Kyaukphyu port and overland oil and gas
pipelines that stretch to Kunming, Yunnan province. The corridor’s
infrastructures reduce China’s energy vulnerability by circumventing the Strait
of Malacca, as confirmed by Zhang and Zeng (2020), and bolster the strategic
depth of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).
For India, however, this development encroaches upon its
strategic backyard, the Bay of Bengal, where it has sought to assert maritime
dominance. The Indian ‘Act East’ policy and the construction of the Kaladan
Multi-Modal Transit Transport Project (KMTTP) can be seen as counterbalancing
moves, reflecting classical balance-of-power dynamics (Scott, 2012). This
interpretive rivalry can be situated within neorealist frameworks that posit
security as a zero-sum game in contested regions.
6.3. Security Dilemmas and Non-Traditional Threats
While
state-centric interpretations dominate strategic discourses on the Arakan
Corridor, the analysis must also engage with broader security challenges,
especially those considered non-traditional: ethnic insurgencies, drug
trafficking, arms smuggling, and refugee crises. The ethnicization of the
Arakan Corridor, particularly through the lens of the Rakhine-Rohingya divide,
introduces a layer of complexity that cannot be explained purely through state
interests.
The
2017 Rohingya crisis and subsequent military campaigns in Rakhine have
transformed the region into a humanitarian disaster zone, which affects the
legitimacy and security of corridor-based development. According to Cheesman,
Skidmore, and Wilson (2018), securitization of ethnic minorities has allowed
the Myanmar military (Tatmadaw) to justify extreme violence while
simultaneously enabling corridor clearance for foreign investments, especially
Chinese-funded infrastructures.
This
aligns with critical geopolitical interpretations that view corridor
development as an act of spatial cleansing and exclusionary nationalism (Dalby,
2010). Thus, strategic infrastructure cannot be interpreted in isolation from
the social violence it co-produces.
6.4. Infrastructural Politics and Corridor Colonialism
One
of the most revealing interpretations of the Arakan Corridor comes from the
literature on ‘infrastructural imperialism’ or ‘corridor colonialism.’ This
body of scholarship critiques the way large-scale infrastructure imposes
spatial hierarchies, reinforces state centrality, and displaces local
communities (Sidaway & Woon, 2017). In Myanmar’s context, the corridor
strengthens the state’s coercive control over Rakhine territory while
disenfranchising its local populations.
Infrastructure
becomes a tool for what Harvey (2003) calls ‘accumulation by dispossession.’
Local populations are displaced, resources are extracted, and ethnic
insurgencies are suppressed—all under the rubric of development and
connectivity. The CMEC and KMTTP exemplify this logic: although framed as
development corridors, they disproportionately benefit national and
transnational elites while exacerbating local marginalities.
Thus,
in critical development studies, the Arakan Corridor is not merely a space of
opportunity but also of exploitation, dispossession, and uneven development.
6.5. ASEAN, Regionalism, and Normative Paradoxes
ASEAN’s
position on the Arakan Corridor reveals significant normative contradictions.
While ASEAN promotes regional stability and connectivity through initiatives
like the Master Plan on ASEAN Connectivity (MPAC), it has largely remained
silent on the violent displacement and militarization accompanying corridor
construction in Rakhine State.
This
paradox reflects the limits of ASEAN’s normative framework, especially its
doctrine of non-interference, which prevents meaningful engagement in member
states’ internal conflicts. As pointed out by Dosch (2015), ASEAN regionalism
often prioritizes elite consensus over human security. Hence, ASEAN's role is
interpreted not as a normative force but as a structural enabler of corridor
politics that favor authoritarian development.
This
dilemma can be interpreted through constructivist approaches that examine how
regional norms are constructed, contested, and ultimately co-opted by state
interests.
6.6. China’s Maritime Strategy and Energy Security
The
Arakan Corridor’s integration into China’s energy strategy offers another
dimension for interpretive analysis. The corridor enables energy imports from
the Middle East and Africa to bypass the contested South China Sea and the
U.S.-dominated Malacca Strait. As per Zhao (2019), this enhances China’s energy
security and supports the naval projection capabilities of the People’s
Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) in the Indian Ocean Region (IOR).
This
maritime shift is not just about logistics but about establishing geopolitical
leverage in the Indo-Pacific, where China faces a containment strategy led by
the Quad (Quadrilateral Security Dialogue) powers—India, Japan, Australia, and
the United States. As such, the corridor functions as a geopolitical lever in
the grand chessboard of Indo-Pacific contestation.
This
reading aligns with Mahanian strategic thought, which places emphasis on naval
power and sea lane control as foundational to geopolitical dominance.
6.7. India's Geostrategic Counterbalance and Connectivity
Diplomacy
India’s
investment in the Kaladan project and the Bay of Bengal Initiative for
Multi-Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation (BIMSTEC) reflects a
counter-strategy to China’s expanding influence through the Arakan Corridor.
The Indian Ocean, particularly the eastern flank around the Andaman and Nicobar
Islands, has been militarized and surveilled as part of India’s Indo-Pacific
vision.
Furthermore,
India’s participation in the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF) and
infrastructural engagements in Myanmar are framed as ‘inclusive connectivity,’
in contrast to what Indian policymakers refer to as China’s ‘debt diplomacy’
(Pant & Passi, 2017). This narrative reinforces geopolitical
binaries—democracy vs authoritarianism, transparency vs opacity—embedded in
strategic interpretations of regional corridors.
Thus,
Indian strategies are not just reactive but discursively constructed to shape
perceptions and regional alignments.
6.8. The Arakan Corridor and the
Global Stakes
At
the global level, the corridor becomes an interface where Western anxieties
about China’s rise intersect with local instability and developmental
asymmetries. The U.S. strategic community views Myanmar’s coastal access as a
potential future base for Chinese naval operations—fueling containment
doctrines and military posturing in the Indo-Pacific.
Simultaneously,
international organizations like the UNHCR and Human Rights Watch raise
concerns about human rights violations linked to corridor militarization. These
concerns create a conflict between geopolitical interests and normative
principles. According to Kaldor (2012), this reflects the post-modern condition
of ‘new wars,’ where state and non-state violence converge around resources,
identity, and global legitimacy.
Therefore,
the Arakan Corridor must be interpreted not only as a strategic artery but also
as a flashpoint of normative contestation at the global level.
6.9. Ethno-political Mobilization and Resistance
Another
vital interpretive dimension lies in the agency of local actors resisting
corridor development. Ethnic armed organizations (EAOs) in Rakhine,
particularly the Arakan Army (AA), have increasingly positioned themselves as
defenders of the local population against external impositions. They articulate
an alternative vision of development rooted in ethno-political autonomy and
environmental sustainability.
This
phenomenon challenges the top-down logic of corridor governance and aligns with
theories of subaltern geopolitics (Sharp, 2011), which prioritize grassroots
resistance and place-making strategies. The corridor thus becomes a contested
space—not just geopolitically but ontologically—as different imaginaries of
development and belonging clash.
6.10. Towards a Multiscalar Understanding
Ultimately,
this discussion suggests that the Arakan Corridor must be interpreted through a
multiscalar lens—where global power rivalries, regional strategies, national
policies, and local experiences intersect and interact. Each scale offers a
partial truth, but only their integration provides a comprehensive
understanding.
The
corridor is simultaneously:
·
A
geostrategic bypass for China,
·
A
maritime security frontier for India,
·
A
normative dilemma for ASEAN,
·
A
human rights crisis zone for the West,
·
A
developmental frontier for Myanmar,
·
And
a site of resistance for the Rakhine people.
This
multiscalar interpretation aligns with the relational ontology in critical
geopolitics, which sees space not as fixed but as produced through power-laden
practices, narratives, and materialities (Agnew, 2005; Kuus, 2014).
7:
Insurgencies, Militarization, and Human Security—Explores how non-state
violence and identity conflicts intersect with strategic interests.
7.1 Introduction
The Arakan Corridor—a conceptual and physical
space encompassing parts of Myanmar’s Rakhine State, adjacent maritime zones,
and connected overland routes—occupies a central position in Southeast Asia’s
security architecture. This corridor’s significance derives not only from its
geographic placement along the Bay of Bengal and its connectivity to Chinese,
Indian, and ASEAN trade routes, but also from the density of conflicts and
militarization it hosts. Ethnic insurgencies, state repression, maritime
disputes, and overlapping great-power interests converge to produce a complex
security environment that challenges human security at multiple levels.
The interlocking dynamics of non-state armed violence, state militarization, and identity-based conflict in this region
create an environment where strategic interests are inseparable from local
insecurities (Smith, 2021). This section critically examines these
interconnections, showing how insurgent movements, state counter-insurgency
campaigns, and foreign strategic projects mutually shape the human security
outcomes in the Arakan Corridor.
Image: Strategic Nodes Around the Arakan Corridor
7.2 Historical Roots of
Insurgency in the Arakan Region
Insurgency in the Arakan region has deep roots
in colonial-era administrative divisions and the politicization of ethnic
identities. Under British colonial rule (1824–1948), Rakhine’s political
economy was restructured to integrate maritime trade while marginalizing
indigenous governance systems. Post-independence, the new Burmese state
inherited unresolved ethnic grievances and contested national integration
projects (Callahan, 2004).
7.2.1 Ethno-Religious
Polarization
The conflict between Rakhine Buddhists and
Rohingya Muslims is central to understanding insurgency dynamics. The
Rohingya’s contested citizenship status under Myanmar’s 1982 Citizenship Law
institutionalized their marginalization, fostering conditions for militant
mobilization (Leider, 2018). Groups like the Rohingya Solidarity Organization
(RSO) in the 1980s and, more recently, the Arakan Rohingya Salvation Army
(ARSA) have framed their struggle in both ethno-nationalist and religious
terms.
7.2.2 The Rise of Rakhine
Nationalism
Parallel to Rohingya mobilization, the Arakan Army (AA) emerged as a
formidable Rakhine nationalist force. Unlike earlier movements, the AA is
embedded in a broader pan-ethnic alliance, the Northern Alliance, linking
conflicts in Rakhine with the Kachin and Shan theaters (Chan, 2020). Its
sophisticated guerrilla tactics and growing legitimacy among Rakhine civilians
have reshaped the region’s insurgent landscape.
7.3 Militarization and
Strategic Infrastructure
The militarization of the Arakan Corridor
cannot be separated from infrastructure development projects, especially those
tied to the China-Myanmar Economic
Corridor (CMEC) and the Kaladan
Multi-Modal Transit Transport Project (India-Myanmar). Both initiatives
have necessitated heavy security deployments, ostensibly to protect
infrastructure but also to consolidate state control over insurgent-prone
territories (Haacke, 2019).
7.3.1 Chinese Security
Footprint
China’s Kyaukphyu deep-sea port and oil-gas
pipelines to Yunnan province are heavily guarded by Myanmar’s military
(Tatmadaw), with evidence of surveillance installations along the pipeline
route (Singh, 2021). Beijing’s security assistance to Naypyidaw, including arms
sales and training, has indirectly intensified local militarization.
7.3.2 Indian Strategic Interests
India’s involvement through the Kaladan project
has led to coordinated military operations along the Mizoram–Rakhine corridor.
While New Delhi frames this as a counter-insurgency measure against
cross-border militants, it also facilitates India’s strategic access to the Bay
of Bengal (Haokip, 2016).
7.4 Intersection of Non-State
Violence and State Security Policies
The Arakan Corridor’s insurgencies are neither
isolated nor purely local—they intersect with broader state security doctrines.
7.4.1 Counter-Insurgency and
Human Rights Abuses
Myanmar’s military campaigns—marked by
scorched-earth tactics, forced displacement, and systematic rights abuses—have
been documented extensively (Amnesty International, 2018). The 2017 operations
against the Rohingya, in response to ARSA attacks, exemplify the
disproportionate use of force and the securitization of ethnic identity.
7.4.2 Insurgent Financing and
Resource Economies
Insurgent groups, particularly the AA, finance
operations through resource taxation (e.g., jade, timber) and informal trade
networks. These economic systems are intertwined with cross-border smuggling
routes, implicating actors in Bangladesh, China, and Thailand (Brenner, 2019).
7.5 Human Security
Implications
The human
security lens, as articulated by the UNDP (1994), shifts the analysis
from territorial and state-centric security to the protection of individuals.
In the Arakan Corridor, militarization directly undermines seven dimensions of
human security: economic, food, health, environmental, personal, community, and
political.
7.5.1 Displacement and
Statelessness
More than 900,000 Rohingya refugees reside in
Bangladesh’s Cox’s Bazar camps, the world’s largest refugee settlement (UNHCR,
2023). Protracted displacement erodes human development prospects and creates a
breeding ground for further radicalization.
7.5.2 Gendered Impacts of
Militarization
Women and girls experience conflict in
gender-specific ways—sexual violence as a weapon of war, disruption of maternal
healthcare, and exclusion from peace processes (Wood, 2014). Human security
frameworks must integrate gender analysis to address these harms.
7.5.3 Environmental
Degradation and Livelihood Loss
Military infrastructure, port expansion, and
pipeline construction have destroyed mangrove forests and fisheries,
undermining livelihoods of coastal communities (Rahman, 2020).
7.6 Regional and Global
Dimensions
Insurgency and militarization in the Arakan
Corridor reverberate beyond Myanmar’s borders.
7.6.1 Spillover Effects into
Bangladesh and India
ARSA and AA activities have had cross-border
security repercussions, prompting Bangladesh and India to enhance border
surveillance. This has increased militarization in Chittagong Hill Tracts and
Mizoram, regions already sensitive to ethnic insurgency.
7.6.2 Great-Power Strategic
Competition
The US, Japan, and Australia have expressed
concerns over China’s strategic foothold in Kyaukphyu. Military aid, capacity
building for Myanmar’s neighbors, and freedom-of-navigation operations in the
Bay of Bengal form part of counter-balancing strategies (Brewster, 2018).
7.7 The Militarization–Insurgency Feedback Loop
A core finding in this analysis is the
self-reinforcing cycle:
- Insurgency triggers
militarization as states and investors secure infrastructure.
- Militarization exacerbates
grievances, especially when coupled with human rights abuses.
- Grievances fuel recruitment for insurgent
movements, sustaining conflict.
This feedback loop is
intensified by foreign strategic interests, which often prioritize
infrastructure security over conflict resolution.
7.8 Pathways to Human
Security
Breaking the cycle requires multi-level
interventions:
- Political solutions that address
citizenship and autonomy demands.
- Demilitarization of civilian
spaces through peace agreements and confidence-building.
- Inclusive economic development that benefits
local communities, not just external investors.
- Regional security frameworks involving
ASEAN, BIMSTEC, and the UN.
The Arakan Corridor exemplifies how local
insurgencies and identity conflicts are amplified by global strategic
rivalries. The intersection of militarization with non-state violence creates a
persistent human security crisis, threatening stability not only in Myanmar but
across the Bay of Bengal region. Without coordinated, rights-based, and
community-centered interventions, the corridor risks remaining a perpetual
conflict zone under the shadow of great-power competition.
7: Conclusion and Policy Implications
7.1.
Introduction
The
Arakan Corridor represents more than a mere geographical passage connecting the
Indian subcontinent to Southeast Asia—it embodies a critical juncture of
transregional geopolitics, ethnic contestation, infrastructure ambitions, and
global strategic rivalry. From China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) ambitions
in the China-Myanmar Economic Corridor (CMEC) to India's Act East policy, and
from the U.S. Indo-Pacific Strategy to ASEAN’s security dilemmas, this corridor
is both a bridge and a battlefield. The preceding sections outlined the
historical context, theoretical framing, and empirical evidence of the Arakan
Corridor's evolving strategic importance. This section offers a conclusive
synthesis of the major findings and outlines the wider implications for
national policies, regional cooperation, and global geopolitics.
7.2. Summary of Key Findings
7.2.1. Geostrategic Significance of the Corridor
The
Arakan region, particularly Rakhine State, has emerged as a critical node for
regional and global connectivity. Our findings demonstrate that the CMEC's
linchpin—Kyaukphyu port—is strategically placed to reduce China's dependence on
the Malacca Strait (Liao & Paik, 2020). At the same time, it creates
vulnerabilities for India and ASEAN countries, who see a growing Chinese
footprint near their strategic periphery.
7.2.2. Multipolar Strategic
Rivalries
The
Arakan Corridor encapsulates the dynamics of a multipolar world. China, India,
Japan, and the U.S. have competing strategic visions, manifest in infrastructure
competition, military posturing, and proxy engagements with local actors. While
China has made significant inroads through the CMEC, India's Kaladan
Multi-Modal Transit Transport Project and the U.S.-led Indo-Pacific frameworks
reflect a geopolitical tug-of-war (Singh, 2021).
7.2.3. The Role of Ethnic and
Religious Dynamics
Rakhine’s
socio-political landscape—dominated by the Arakanese Buddhists and marginalized
Rohingya Muslims—has been manipulated by both domestic and foreign actors.
Strategic infrastructure is deeply entangled with local displacement,
militarization, and sectarian violence. Our research finds that any strategic
project that ignores these grassroots realities risks igniting further unrest
(Cheesman, 2017).
7.2.4. Institutional Vacuum and
Sovereignty Dilemmas
Myanmar’s
political instability, following the 2021 military coup, has generated a
governance vacuum. This instability complicates long-term strategic investments
and opens doors for informal alliances, militias, and transnational criminal
networks. The Arakan Corridor becomes not just a site of formal geopolitics but
also of hybrid threats (ICG, 2022).
7.3. Theoretical Reflections
This
study utilized a hybrid theoretical framework combining critical geopolitics, securitization
theory, and strategic regionalism. The corridor challenges traditional
state-centric theories of geopolitics by demonstrating that non-state actors,
sub-state entities, and algorithmic intelligence (via data surveillance, social
media manipulation) increasingly shape regional trajectories.
For
instance, securitization theory helps explain how ethnic displacement (e.g.,
Rohingya crisis) has been framed as a security issue to justify militarization
and surveillance. Critical geopolitics, in turn, deconstructs the rhetorical
framing of ‘corridor development’ to reveal underlying power asymmetries and
ideational manipulation (Ó Tuathail, 1996).
7.4. Regional Policy Implications
7.4.1.
ASEAN and Collective Security
The
Arakan Corridor underscores ASEAN’s strategic crossroads: remain neutral or
assert a collective strategic posture. The South China Sea issue already tested
ASEAN unity; the Arakan Corridor could further strain intra-ASEAN consensus
unless a common policy on external engagement, particularly Chinese
infrastructure expansion, is developed (Emmers, 2019).
Recommendations:
·
Strengthen
ASEAN's maritime security coordination.
·
Establish
a corridor impact assessment commission under ASEAN’s Political-Security
Community.
·
Promote
transboundary dialogue on ethnic conflict resolution.
7.4.2. India’s Strategic Balancing
India’s
connectivity initiatives in Myanmar are crucial to countering Chinese leverage.
However, delays in Kaladan project implementation and security lapses in the
northeastern frontier undermine India’s credibility (Pant, 2022). India's Look
East/Act East policy must transition from rhetoric to reliable action.
Recommendations:
·
Expedite
infrastructure delivery with local community consultation.
·
Enhance
maritime surveillance and capacity building in the Bay of Bengal.
·
Collaborate
with Japan and ASEAN for multilateral alternatives to the BRI.
7.4.3. China’s Strategic Entrenchment
China's
push through CMEC appears economically driven but is deeply strategic. The pipeline
connectivity from Kyaukphyu to Yunnan reduces Chinese vulnerability but raises
fears of a ‘dual-use’ strategy. The corridor also creates dependency traps for
Myanmar.
Recommendations:
·
Promote
transparent corridor financing with sustainability benchmarks.
·
Avoid
military overreach by respecting sovereignty and human rights.
·
Reframe
BRI with local participation and social license.
7.5. Global Strategic Implications
7.5.1.
The U.S. and the Indo-Pacific
The
United States has recognized the strategic significance of the Bay of Bengal
and adjacent corridors. However, American engagement remains militarized and
lacks deep infrastructural investment.
Recommendations:
·
The
U.S. should back regional digital corridors and climate-resilient connectivity
initiatives.
·
Engage
through soft power, especially educational and technological exchanges.
·
Avoid
militarizing the corridor, which could provoke Chinese escalation.
7.5.2. Japan, Australia, and EU Engagement
Japan
has already partnered with India in infrastructure diplomacy, while Australia
and the EU see the corridor through a human rights and rules-based order lens.
Recommendations:
·
Support
civil society engagement in corridor governance.
·
Fund
peacebuilding and capacity development in border areas.
·
Invest
in digital infrastructure to counter China’s techno-political reach.
7.6. Human Security and Social Implications
Our
study reveals that while geopolitics dominates elite discourse, human security
is marginal. Displacement, economic marginalization, and digital surveillance
are real issues for local populations. Infrastructure projects in the Arakan
Corridor have often led to dispossession rather than empowerment (UNOCHA,
2023).
Policy
Implications:
·
Establish
an international observatory on infrastructure and human rights.
·
Mandate
corporate social responsibility (CSR) frameworks for corridor investors.
·
Encourage
gender-sensitive planning and post-conflict trauma services.
7.7. Environmental and Climate Considerations
Climate
change is the silent disruptor of corridor security. Rising sea levels,
cyclonic storms, and environmental degradation in the Bay of Bengal threaten
the viability of both the CMEC and Kaladan projects (IPCC, 2023).
Recommendations:
·
Incorporate
climate risk in strategic infrastructure planning.
·
Invest
in green infrastructure and resilient logistics chains.
·
Launch
a Bay of Bengal Climate Alliance for shared adaptation.
7.8. Ethical and Normative Challenges
The
Arakan Corridor raises ethical dilemmas about sovereignty, intervention, and
development. Who decides what gets built? Who benefits? Our findings show that
the most powerful actors—state or corporate—often operate with impunity in
fragile zones. Geopolitical ethics must be reframed.
Recommendations:
·
Advocate
for an International Code of Conduct for Infrastructure in Conflict Zones.
·
Require
third-party environmental and social audits.
·
Enable
local communities to veto harmful development through democratic processes.
7.9. Future Trajectories
The
Arakan Corridor may evolve into:
1.
A Geoeconomic Success (if regional cooperation prevails),
2.
A Geopolitical Flashpoint (if rivalry escalates without
regulation), or
3.
A Humanitarian Disaster Zone (if militarization and climate
vulnerability converge).
Its
future hinges on the choices made by regional and global powers, but even more
so, on the voices of its local communities—often silenced in strategic
discourse.
Conclusion
In
conclusion, the Arakan Corridor sits at the nexus of a 21st-century
geopolitical reordering. It is a test case for whether regional cooperation,
human-centered development, and ethical geopolitics can triumph over strategic
rivalries, militarized interventions, and economic extractivism. The corridor
has immense promise but also grave risks. As global attention turns to the
Indo-Pacific, the Arakan Corridor must not become merely a pawn in great power
games—it must be reimagined as a zone of cooperation, sustainability, and peace.
The Arakan Corridor, situated
along Myanmar’s western frontier and opening into the Bay of Bengal, occupies a
critical juncture in Southeast Asia’s geopolitical architecture. This research
has traced its emergence as a vital strategic space where maritime trade
routes, energy transportation networks, and geopolitical rivalries intersect.
From the deep-water ports at Sittwe and Kyaukphyu to the maritime approaches
around Cox’s Bazar and Chittagong, the corridor functions not only as an
infrastructural conduit but also as a geopolitical pivot. The analysis reveals
that the Arakan Corridor’s significance is far greater than its geographic
dimensions might suggest: it serves as a linchpin connecting South and
Southeast Asia to global maritime systems, while also embodying the strategic
ambitions of major powers such as China, India, and, indirectly, the United
States and Japan (Brewster, 2020; Haidar, 2019).
At the heart of the
corridor’s strategic value lies the China–Myanmar Economic Corridor (CMEC), a
flagship Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) project that provides Beijing with
direct access to the Bay of Bengal. The Kyaukphyu deep-sea port, coupled with
dual oil and gas pipelines running into Yunnan, enables China to bypass the
Malacca Strait—its most vulnerable maritime chokepoint. This shift has
significant implications for global energy security and power projection.
India, in turn, views the corridor through the lens of its ‘Act East’ policy
and maritime strategic calculus, particularly in relation to its Kaladan
Multi-Modal Transit Transport Project (KMMTTP), which aims to enhance
connectivity between India’s northeast and Myanmar’s Rakhine coast (Das, 2021).
The convergence of these strategic ambitions has transformed the corridor into
a contested geopolitical arena where economic cooperation is deeply entangled
with security competition.
However, as this research has
demonstrated, the Arakan Corridor is not merely a theater for great power
rivalry—it is also a landscape of human insecurity, ethnic conflict, and
environmental vulnerability. The Rakhine State, through which the corridor
passes, is home to one of the world’s most protracted and complex humanitarian
crises, exemplified by the Rohingya displacement. The militarization of
infrastructure zones, the securitization of ethnic communities, and the
persistence of insurgent violence all illustrate the ways in which global and
regional strategic projects are embedded within—and often exacerbate—local
conflict dynamics (Mahmood & Murshed, 2021). This dynamic creates a layered
reality: infrastructure meant to integrate economies simultaneously deepens
social divides and perpetuates instability.
1.
Strategic Geography and Multipolar Competition
The research affirms that the Arakan Corridor’s
geostrategic importance is underpinned by its position as a
maritime–continental interface. It links the Indian Ocean to the resource-rich
but politically volatile interiors of Myanmar and China’s Yunnan province. The
Bay of Bengal’s increasing relevance—both as an energy transport hub and as a
potential theater for naval competition—means that control over, or access to,
the Arakan Corridor will shape the regional balance of power in the coming
decades (Singh, 2022). As China consolidates its presence through port and
pipeline projects, India has sought to counterbalance with its own
infrastructure initiatives, naval modernization, and security partnerships with
Bangladesh, Japan, and the United States.
This competition reflects a
broader shift toward a multipolar Indo-Pacific order, in which regional
corridors like Arakan become arenas for influence projection. The corridor’s
connectivity potential could, in theory, make it a ‘win-win’ development space.
Yet, as this research shows, the asymmetry in bargaining power between
Myanmar’s military junta, foreign investors, and local communities skews the
benefits toward state and corporate actors while externalizing the security
costs onto vulnerable populations.
2.
Insurgencies, Militarization, and the Human Security Deficit
Perhaps the most critical insight from the
study is that strategic infrastructure cannot be insulated from the
sociopolitical context in which it is embedded. The Arakan Corridor traverses a
region marked by entrenched insurgencies—including the Arakan Army (AA) and
other ethnic armed organizations—that have historically resisted central state
control. The militarization of the corridor, ostensibly to secure
infrastructure and investment, often blurs the lines between counterinsurgency
and civilian repression (Kipgen, 2020). This reality deepens the human security
crisis, displaces populations, and undermines the very stability that foreign
investors seek to guarantee.
The Rohingya crisis serves as a tragic example
of how identity-based conflict intersects with strategic geography. The
international community’s framing of Rakhine State primarily as a human rights
emergency, while essential, often overlooks the degree to which infrastructure
and resource extraction exacerbate grievances and displacement (Leider, 2018).
This study’s findings underscore that without addressing these underlying
drivers of insecurity, strategic corridors risk becoming corridors of exclusion
and violence.
3.
The Risk–Benefit Paradox of Strategic Corridors
The analysis reveals a risk–benefit paradox
inherent in the development of the Arakan Corridor. On the one hand, the
corridor offers tangible economic opportunities: increased maritime trade, job
creation, and regional connectivity that could integrate isolated economies
into global value chains. On the other, the corridor intensifies strategic
rivalries, fuels local conflicts, and exposes critical infrastructure to
insurgent disruption.
China’s heavy investment in
the corridor is framed domestically as an economic win, yet it also exposes
Beijing to the vulnerabilities of operating in a volatile political
environment. Similarly, India’s engagement seeks to project influence, but its
projects are often slowed by bureaucratic inertia and security risks. For Myanmar’s
military junta, the corridor offers revenue and strategic partnerships but at
the cost of deepening its dependence on external powers, which can limit
sovereignty over time (Egreteau, 2016).
4.
Environmental and Maritime Security Dimensions
The corridor’s strategic geography also has
profound environmental and maritime implications. The Bay of Bengal is both an
economic lifeline and an ecological hotspot vulnerable to climate change
impacts such as cyclones, sea-level rise, and coastal erosion. The
militarization of maritime zones, alongside intensified commercial shipping and
oil transport, heightens the risk of environmental degradation, oil spills, and
fishing ground depletion (Vivekanandan, 2019). Such environmental stresses
compound human insecurity, particularly for coastal and fishing communities in
Rakhine and southern Bangladesh.
Maritime security concerns are equally
pressing. Piracy, trafficking, and illegal fishing in the Bay of Bengal
intersect with the broader Indo-Pacific maritime security agenda. The Arakan
Corridor thus sits at the crossroads of local livelihoods and global maritime
governance, making cooperative security frameworks essential for sustainable
corridor development.
5.
Policy Implications and Strategic Pathways
This research points toward several key policy
implications:
• Integrating
Human Security into Strategic Planning
Strategic corridor development must incorporate
human security considerations from the outset. This entails conducting
inclusive impact assessments, ensuring equitable benefit distribution, and
embedding conflict-sensitive approaches into project design.
• Balancing
Multipolar Engagement
For Myanmar, strategic diversification—engaging
with multiple partners rather than over-relying on any single power—could
mitigate geopolitical dependency. Regional institutions like BIMSTEC and ASEAN
can provide platforms for multilateral dialogue to balance competing interests.
• Conflict-Sensitive
Infrastructure Governance
External actors, especially China and India,
need to recognize that stability is not achieved solely through military
securitization. Genuine stability requires addressing governance deficits,
promoting political dialogue with ethnic groups, and supporting community-based
development.
• Maritime
Cooperation in the Bay of Bengal
Joint patrols, information-sharing, and
coordinated disaster response mechanisms could enhance maritime security while
protecting ecological integrity.
• Environmental
Safeguards
Climate resilience must be built into infrastructure
projects, with safeguards against ecological degradation and mechanisms for
sustainable resource management.
6.
Concluding Reflections
The Arakan Corridor exemplifies the
double-edged nature of strategic infrastructure in contested regions. It is
both a bridge and a fault line—capable of linking diverse economies while
deepening existing fractures. The corridor’s future will be determined not merely
by the ambitions of states but by the degree to which its governance can
reconcile the imperatives of development, security, and human dignity.
Ultimately, the findings of
this research reinforce a central truth of contemporary geopolitics: strategic
spaces are lived spaces. The Arakan Corridor is not an abstract geoeconomic
project; it is a landscape where communities live, identities are negotiated,
and conflicts unfold. A sustainable future for the corridor will depend on
moving beyond zero-sum geopolitics toward cooperative, inclusive, and
environmentally conscious regionalism. This will require courage from
policymakers, restraint from military actors, and persistent advocacy from
civil society. Without such a shift, the Arakan Corridor may continue to mirror
the contradictions of the Indo-Pacific—rich in opportunity, yet mired in
insecurity.
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